Rewild Capital, with REHerd Africa, assessed rangeland condition across the 516,000 km2 KAZA region using 90m-grid vegetation fractional cover. Between 2013 and 2023 median woody cover rose from 30% to 52%—a widespread trend known as bush encroachment, driven largely by three reinforcing factors:

Nearly one million people depend on KAZA’s grasslands; median grassy cover has fallen from 44% to 33%, reducing forage, biodiversity and livelihoods. This is a major challenge — and an opportunity: thinning woody biomass into biochar and restoring grasslands with adaptive grazing and controlled burns can boost grazing capacity, biodiversity and resilience while sequestering soil carbon.